Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Torino vs Swarovski Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
EMP
2 - 0
TOR
20%
33%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
CAG
1 - 0
TOR
17%
25%
58%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
TOR
0 - 1
NAP
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
ASC
1 - 1
TOR
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
TOR
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
SWA
2 - 0
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
SWA
4 - 1
69%
17%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 0
SWA
68%
18%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
LIN
2 - 2
SWA
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
SWA
4 - 2
LAS
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |