Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Torino vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
COM
0 - 2
TOR
29%
33%
39%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
TOR
0 - 2
JUV
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 1
TOR
40%
29%
31%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
TOR
24%
28%
48%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
TOR
0 - 2
ROM
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
CAT
2 - 0
SPA
40%
32%
28%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 2
SPA
48%
30%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
TOR
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 1
SPA
52%
29%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |