Torino vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
USA
0 - 1
TOR
30%
30%
40%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOR
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
CAT
0 - 2
TOR
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
TOR
1 - 3
VIC
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
BRE
2 - 2
SPA
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 2
FIO
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
SPA
3 - 0
CAT
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |