Torino vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
PRO
1 - 1
TOR
39%
24%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
TOR
4 - 0
COM
72%
15%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
TOR
0 - 1
UNI
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
FIO
1 - 0
TOR
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
SPA
2 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
SPA
0 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
PAD
2 - 4
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
LAZ
4 - 1
SPA
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |