Torino vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
TOR
1 - 2
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
BOL
0 - 3
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
TOR
3 - 1
SAM
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
MFF
1 - 1
TOR
48%
28%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
TOR
4 - 1
ASC
86%
10%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ROM
2 - 0
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
GEN
2 - 2
ROM
46%
29%
25%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ROM
4 - 1
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
AVE
1 - 1
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |