Torino vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1951 |
BOL
2 - 1
TOR
37%
23%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
TOR
0 - 4
ACM
35%
22%
43%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
UDI
3 - 1
TOR
24%
21%
55%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
TOR
2 - 0
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1951 |
UDI
1 - 0
ROM
60%
21%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
ROM
5 - 0
SAM
47%
23%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ROM
0 - 1
ASL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 0
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |