Torino vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
JUV
1 - 1
TOR
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
TOR
2 - 1
USA
62%
20%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
BOL
3 - 1
TOR
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1934 |
TOR
3 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1934 |
NAP
5 - 2
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 0
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
NAP
3 - 2
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1934 |
ROM
4 - 0
BRE
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1934 |
FIO
4 - 1
ROM
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1934 |
ROM
2 - 0
PAD
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |