Serie B Playoffs Playoff Ascenso Final
Global 2-2
Torino vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
PRG
1 - 2
TOR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
TOR
2 - 1
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
0 - 1
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
TOR
3 - 1
ABN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
PRG
1 - 2
TOR
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
PRG
2 - 0
TRE
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
PRG
23%
26%
50%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ABN
0 - 1
PRG
23%
27%
51%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
PRG
1 - 0
TRI
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |