Torino vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
CAT
1 - 4
TOR
17%
24%
60%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
TOR
2 - 0
NOV
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
VER
2 - 0
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
ACM
15%
25%
60%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
PRG
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
PRG
3 - 0
FCC
64%
21%
14%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
ACM
3 - 1
PRG
82%
12%
5%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |