Torino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
SPA
1 - 1
TOR
24%
20%
56%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
TOR
2 - 0
PRO
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
COM
1 - 0
TOR
28%
21%
51%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
PRO
4 - 3
TOR
30%
23%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
TOR
2 - 1
INT
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
FIO
1 - 1
NOV
64%
19%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 2
ACM
22%
22%
56%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
TRI
3 - 0
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |