Torino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
PAL
1 - 1
TOR
27%
23%
50%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
COM
4 - 2
TOR
29%
21%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
73%
15%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
LAZ
3 - 0
TOR
47%
21%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
PRO
2 - 1
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1951 |
NOV
2 - 0
UDI
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
NOV
3 - 0
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
COM
2 - 1
NOV
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |