Torino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
NAP
2 - 1
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
TOR
3 - 6
GEN
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 1
TOR
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 1
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 1
ROM
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 0
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |