Torino vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
GEN
4 - 0
TOR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
TOR
2 - 0
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
LAZ
0 - 2
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
TOR
6 - 2
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 1
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 1
ROM
47%
24%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
TRI
2 - 0
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 2
LIV
56%
21%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |