Torino vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
VNZ
2 - 1
TOR
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 2
JUV
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
MOD
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1939 |
NAP
0 - 1
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
INT
4 - 0
NAP
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
NAP
3 - 2
ACL
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |