Torino vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.1%
3.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 1
TOR
18%
23%
59%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
TOR
4 - 0
NOV
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
TOR
1 - 0
BOL
87%
8%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
LAZ
2 - 2
TOR
25%
23%
52%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
TOR
4 - 1
ACM
82%
11%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
5 - 1
MOD
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 2
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 3
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ROM
2 - 1
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |