Torino vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 3
TOR
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
TOR
5 - 1
ASL
79%
12%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 1
MOD
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOD
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
MOD
2 - 3
ACL
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
LAZ
9 - 1
MOD
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |