Torino vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
ROM
2 - 1
TOR
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
SAM
2 - 1
TOR
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
TOR
3 - 2
SPA
51%
23%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 1
SAM
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
CAT
4 - 3
ACM
22%
23%
56%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
VIC
1 - 0
ACM
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |