Torino vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOR
28%
24%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
TOR
0 - 2
VNZ
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOR
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
TOR
0 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
TOR
0 - 0
ROM
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ACM
1 - 3
ROM
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACM
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ACM
5 - 0
LIV
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
INT
2 - 2
ACM
77%
15%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |