Torino vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 0
TOR
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRE
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
LIV
3 - 1
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TOR
4 - 2
PIA
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MES
4 - 1
ABN
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
MES
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |