Torino vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
TOR
6 - 1
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
TOR
1 - 1
VIC
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
LEC
0 - 0
TOR
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
TOR
0 - 2
INT
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
TOR
36%
30%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
MOD
2 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
SAM
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 0
MES
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |