Torino vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 0
TOR
40%
23%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
TOR
2 - 0
SAM
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
PAL
0 - 2
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
TOR
0 - 0
JUV
38%
23%
39%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
TRI
0 - 1
TOR
32%
24%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAM
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
BOL
2 - 1
ASL
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASL
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ASL
1 - 0
INT
25%
23%
52%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
JUV
2 - 0
ASL
87%
8%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |