Torino vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 1
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOR
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
TOR
1 - 1
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASL
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASL
79%
13%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ASL
2 - 1
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |