Torino vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1937 |
TOR
4 - 0
SAM
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
BAR
0 - 0
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
TOR
5 - 0
USA
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1937 |
ASL
5 - 1
ROM
23%
21%
56%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
SAM
3 - 0
ASL
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 0
LAZ
24%
20%
57%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 0
ASL
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |