Torino vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.9
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1949 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
90%
7%
4%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 2
TOR
24%
24%
53%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
TOR
2 - 0
ATL
91%
6%
3%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 1
TOR
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
PAL
2 - 2
TOR
18%
23%
59%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
LIV
0 - 2
PAL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GEN
3 - 2
LIV
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 0
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
ATL
4 - 2
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
LIV
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |