Torino vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
INT
0 - 0
TOR
35%
23%
42%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 1
TOR
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 1
MOD
90%
7%
3%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 1
TOR
18%
23%
59%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
TOR
4 - 0
NOV
89%
7%
4%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 4
NOV
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
FIO
2 - 1
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
72%
15%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
GEN
5 - 1
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
ASL
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |