Torino vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 1
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
TOR
2 - 1
PRO
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 26 | 56 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
TOR
2 - 1
INT
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
TOR
3 - 0
NAP
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1939 |
INT
1 - 0
GEN
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
GEN
5 - 2
FIO
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
GEN
3 - 1
NAP
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 1
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
GEN
5 - 1
MOD
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |