Torino vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 3
TOR
28%
23%
48%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 0
PAL
88%
8%
4%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
TOR
4 - 0
GEN
87%
9%
5%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
INT
0 - 0
TOR
35%
23%
42%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 1
TOR
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 2
INT
39%
23%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
FIO
5 - 3
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
FIO
2 - 1
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
MOD
1 - 2
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |