Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
Torino vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
TOR
1 - 0
INT
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
APO
1 - 1
TOR
27%
29%
44%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
VIC
0 - 0
TOR
31%
31%
39%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
TOR
2 - 0
PES
82%
12%
5%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
TOR
3 - 0
APO
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
DZG
5 - 1
OLP
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
OLP
3 - 1
DZG
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
DZG
2 - 2
MAG
31%
23%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
MAG
2 - 0
DZG
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
DZG
3 - 0
ASA
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |