Torino vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
JUV
2 - 0
TOR
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
LEO
1 - 0
TOR
36%
23%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
TOR
0 - 2
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
UNI
0 - 1
TOR
17%
19%
64%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 2
TOR
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
LIV
5 - 0
CAS
78%
14%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
USA
2 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
4 - 0
PRO
37%
24%
38%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
2 - 2
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
ROM
3 - 1
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |