Torino vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
ROM
4 - 0
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
TOR
3 - 1
GEN
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
INT
0 - 0
TOR
79%
12%
8%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
TOR
0 - 0
NAP
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
TOR
2 - 1
PAL
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1934 |
PAD
1 - 0
ROM
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 0
PAD
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 2
JUV
23%
23%
55%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
FIO
3 - 0
PAD
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
PAD
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |