Torino vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1941 |
NAP
1 - 2
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
TOR
1 - 1
NAP
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
TOR
5 - 2
LIV
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
INT
0 - 2
TOR
72%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
TOR
5 - 1
NOV
72%
16%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1941 |
BRE
4 - 2
ATL
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 2
BRE
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
BRE
3 - 1
USA
50%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 1938 |
BRE
0 - 1
VNZ
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |