Torino vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
NOV
1 - 1
TOR
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
NAP
2 - 2
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
TOR
2 - 0
SAM
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
TOR
1 - 0
UDI
62%
20%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
TOR
1 - 1
INT
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
4 - 0
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 3
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
PAL
3 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SAM
2 - 2
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |