Torino vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 2
TOR
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1953 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
COM
0 - 1
TOR
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
TRI
3 - 0
TOR
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACM
28%
23%
49%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
3 - 1
UDI
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
LAZ
1 - 2
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
0 - 1
TRI
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 3
NAP
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |