Torino vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
TRI
3 - 0
TOR
21%
22%
57%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
TOR
2 - 0
GEN
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 5
TOR
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
TOR
1 - 3
JUV
77%
13%
10%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 1
TOR
21%
23%
56%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BOL
6 - 1
VNZ
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAZ
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
COM
2 - 2
BOL
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
57%
21%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |