Torino vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
NOV
0 - 1
TOR
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
TOR
0 - 1
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 3
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
TOR
2 - 1
FIO
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
TRI
0 - 2
BOL
36%
28%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
BOL
0 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 1
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |