Serie B Playoffs Playoff Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Torino vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
0 - 1
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
TOR
3 - 1
ABN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
TER
1 - 1
TOR
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
0 - 1
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
MOD
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
SAL
2 - 1
ASC
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ASC
0 - 1
PRG
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
CES
1 - 2
ASC
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |