Torino vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1970 |
CAG
1 - 0
TOR
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
TOR
0 - 4
CAG
46%
29%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
VIC
1 - 0
TOR
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
53%
26%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
TOR
3 - 2
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
REG
57%
26%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
BOL
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
TER
1 - 1
VAR
36%
33%
31%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 2
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
COM
2 - 0
VAR
36%
31%
33%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |