Torino vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
MAN
1 - 2
TOR
34%
30%
37%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
TOR
0 - 0
INT
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ROM
2 - 2
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
TOR
4 - 0
CAG
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
INT
0 - 0
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
JUV
3 - 2
VAR
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACM
19%
21%
61%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
BOL
3 - 0
VAR
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |