Torino vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 0
LAZ
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
FIO
1 - 1
TOR
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 0
SPA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
ROM
3 - 0
TOR
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
TOR
1 - 2
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
PRO
1 - 0
VAR
42%
25%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASS
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
VAR
4 - 0
USA
70%
18%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACP
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |