Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 5-2
Torino vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAD
72%
20%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
LAZ
3 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
TOR
0 - 2
INT
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1994 |
ASS
0 - 1
TOR
15%
25%
60%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
ROM
2 - 0
TOR
55%
25%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1994 |
ASS
0 - 1
TOR
15%
25%
60%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
ASS
2 - 1
VNZ
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
ASS
0 - 0
FIO
14%
31%
55%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1994 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASS
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |