Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-2
Torino vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
2.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
ASS
2 - 3
TOR
15%
26%
59%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
TOR
5 - 2
ASC
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ATL
1 - 3
TOR
35%
32%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1992 |
AJA
0 - 0
TOR
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
TOR
4 - 0
GEN
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
ASS
2 - 3
TOR
15%
26%
59%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1992 |
ASS
1 - 0
BOL
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
ASS
0 - 1
PIS
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
PIS
2 - 0
ASS
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
INT
2 - 1
ASS
82%
14%
4%
|
62 | 90 | 28 | 0 |