Torino vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
TOR
2 - 1
UDI
73%
16%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
USF
1 - 2
TOR
18%
27%
55%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 2
TOR
19%
26%
55%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
46%
28%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
PIS
2 - 0
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
CES
3 - 1
USF
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
FCC
1 - 1
CES
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
CES
1 - 0
UDI
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
ASC
0 - 0
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
CES
2 - 2
INT
24%
30%
46%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |