Torhout vs FC Lebbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
10º
3º
2
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
8 | 58 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 57 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 52 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 43 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 19 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
49.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
39% | 70% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUL
3 - 4
TOR
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLS
1 - 1
TOR
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
RMO
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lebbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RCL
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
24%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 0
RCL
31%
26%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCL
2 - 2
SPO
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RCL
2 - 3
BER
55%
22%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
RCL
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |