Torhout vs KRC Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
15º
14º
12
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 63 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 58 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 24 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
55% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torhout
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLS
1 - 1
TOR
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
RMO
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
CER
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 0
TOR
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
KRC Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
ZEL
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
GEN
65%
19%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 1
RCS
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
GEN
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |