Torgelower SV Greif vs BFC Preussen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 1
TOR
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 1
BAK
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FAL
3 - 0
TOR
50%
23%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 0
BFC
28%
26%
47%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TEN
3 - 0
TOR
78%
14%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Preussen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 1
LFC
27%
26%
47%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 0
PRE
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PRE
0 - 4
TEN
11%
20%
69%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
LIC
1 - 1
PRE
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 4
OPT
19%
24%
57%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |