Torgelower SV Greif vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torgelower SV Greif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
TOR
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
NEU
41%
23%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BSC
2 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 0
WAL
45%
23%
31%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
POM
0 - 1
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
LIC
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
HAN
2 - 2
LUC
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 0
SCH
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 1
LUC
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 0
UNI
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |