Torcatense vs Montalegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
TOR
9 - 0
TMO
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
TOR
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAM
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 3
TOR
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CAM
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
19%
21%
61%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
PED
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |