Torcatense vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
70.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TAI
1 - 1
TOR
25%
22%
52%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 3
OSL
49%
24%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
TOR
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 1
SMA
15%
23%
62%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
5 - 1
TOR
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GFC
4 - 1
TRO
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 3
GFC
6%
17%
78%
|
51 | 13 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GFC
2 - 1
FAF
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 3
GFC
9%
19%
72%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 1
FEL
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |