Torcatense vs Arões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 0
TOR
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
SMA
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
VAR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
ARO
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ARO
4 - 1
FEL
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +6 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
ARO
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
TRO
12%
18%
71%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |