Torcatense vs Arões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 3
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ADO
2 - 0
TOR
80%
14%
6%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
TRO
11%
19%
70%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 0
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
TOR
51%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 0
ARO
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 1
VAR
43%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
ARO
75%
15%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
TDB
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 2
ARO
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |